XIV

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Opinion polling for
Canadian federal elections
1984
Opinion polls
1988
Opinion polls
1993
Opinion polls
1997
Opinion polls
2000
Opinion polls

Polls leading up——to the 1988 Canadian federal election.

National polls※

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Campaign period※
Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample Margin
Voting results 43.02 31.92 20.38 4.68 11.10
Gallup November 19, 1988 40 35 22 3 — — —
Insight Canada Research November 18, 1988 43 32 20 5 — — —
Angus Reid November 17, 1988 41 33 23 3 ± 2.5 1,512 8
Gallup November 12, 1988 35 35 26 4 ± 4.0 1,026 0
Canadian Facts November 8, 1988 38 38 21 — ± 2.2 2,200 0
Angus Reid November 8, 1988 39 35 24 — ± 2.5 1,501 4
Environics November 8, 1988 35 37 24 5 — 1,275 —
Gallup November 5, 1988 31 43 22 — ± 4.0 1,041 12
Insight Canada Research November 3, 1988 37 40 20 3 ± 3.2 1,101 3
Environics October 30, 1988 31 37 26 6 — 727 —
Insight Canada Research November 3, 1988 35 39 23 3 — 1,100 —
Gallup October 29, 1988 38 32 27 3 — 1,034 —
Angus Reid October 27, 1988 35 35 28 2 ± 2.5 1,502 0
Environics October 26, 1988 32 32 28 8 — 811 —
Gallup October 15, 1988 39 29 28 4 ± 4.0 1,027 10
Environics October 10, 1988 42 25 29 5 — 1,515 —
Angus Reid October 3, 1988 45 26 27 2 ± 2.5 1,512 19
Gallup October 3, 1988 43 33 22 2 ± 4.0 1,061 10
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988)

During the 33rd Parliament of Canada※

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample
Gallup September 10, 1988 37 33 27 — ± 4.0 1,032
Gallup August 6, 1988 34 35 30 — ± 4.0 1,036
Environics July 26, 1988 34 38 26 — ± 2.5 1,503
Angus Reid July 25, 1988 35 34 28 — — —
Gallup July 11, 1988 35 37 27 1 — —
Environics June 27, 1988 31 37 30 2 — 1,992
Angus Reid June 21, 1988 33 34 31 2 ± 2.5 1,506
Gallup June 4, 1988 31 39 29 1 — —
Angus Reid May 18, 1988 31 37 30 2 — —
Gallup May 7, 1988 28 39 31 2 — —
Gallup April 9, 1988 31 38 30 1 — —
Environics March 24, 1988 29 40 30 1 — 1,983
Angus Reid March 21, 1988 34 30 34 2 ± 2.5 1,517
Gallup March 5, 1988 28 37 33 2 — —
Angus Reid February 23, 1988 32 33 33 2 ± 2.5 1,521
Gallup February 6, 1988 27 41 31 1 ± 4.0 1,022
Gallup January 9, 1988 30 36 31 2 — —
Ratification of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (January 2, 1988)
Gallup December 5, 1987 29 35 34 2 ± 4.0 1,000
Angus Reid December 4, 1987 30 37 32 — ± 2.5 1,507
Gallup November 7, 1987 25 40 33 2 — —
Gallup October 10, 1987 23 38 38 1 — —
Gallup September 5, 1987 25 36 37 2 — —
Gallup August 8, 1987 25 36 37 2 — —
Gallup July 11, 1987 23 35 41 1 — —
Angus Reid June 24, 1987 26 32 40 — ± 2.5 1,504
Environics June 10, 1987 26 36 37 — — —
Gallup June 6, 1987 24 39 35 2 — —
Signing of the Meech Lake Accord (June 2–3, 1987)
Angus Reid May 25, 1987 22 38 38 — ± 2.5 1,521
Angus Reid May 11, 1987 25 36 37 — — 1,670
Gallup May 9, 1987 26 42 30 3 — 1,014
Gallup April 11, 1987 24 42 32 3 — 1,008
Gallup March 14, 1987 24 41 34 1 — —
Angus Reid March 6, 1987 23 42 33 2 ± 2.5 1,666
Gallup February 14, 1987 22 44 32 2 — —
Gallup January 10, 1987 28 41 30 1 — —
Gallup December 6, 1986 30 45 25 1 — —
Gallup November 8, 1986 31 39 29 1 — —
Gallup October 4, 1986 31 38 29 1 — —
Gallup September 13, 1986 35 36 28 2 ± 4.0 1,000
Gallup August 16, 1986 33 41 24 2 — —
Gallup August 9, 1986 31 35 33 1 — —
Gallup July 5, 1986 36 41 21 2 — —
Angus Reid June 24, 1986 31 38 27 — — 1,673
CROP-Environics June 15, 1986 36 39 24 — — 2,040
Gallup June 7, 1986 32 40 27 1 — —
Angus Reid May 13, 1986 38 36 24 — ± 2.5 1,063
Gallup May 3, 1986 32 40 27 1 — —
Gallup April 5, 1986 37 40 21 2 — —
Gallup March 15, 1986 41 34 25 1 — —
Gallup February 8, 1986 36 41 23 1 — —
Gallup December 7, 1985 37 38 24 1 — —
Gallup November 9, 1985 40 36 24 0 — —
Gallup October 5, 1985 43 35 22 1 — —
Gallup September 7, 1985 48 29 22 1 — —
Angus Reid August 27, 1985 46 29 21 4 — —
Gallup August 10, 1985 46 32 20 2 — 1,037
Gallup July 13, 1985 40 33 26 1 — —
Gallup June 8, 1985 44 33 21 2 — —
Gallup May 18, 1985 45 31 22 1 — —
Gallup April 6, 1985 54 24 21 1 ± 4.0 1,037
Gallup February 23, 1985 56 26 17 1 — —
Gallup February 2, 1985 53 25 21 1 — —
Gallup January 5, 1985 53 25 21 1 ± 4.0 1,054
Gallup December 8, 1984 54 24 20 2 — —
CROP November 30, 1984 57 22 20 1 ± 2.0 1,971
Gallup November 3, 1984 55 23 20 2 — —
Gallup October 13, 1984 60 21 17 3 — —
Election 1984 50.03 28.02 18.81 3.14

By geographic area※

In Québec※

Evolution of voting intentions in Québec
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample
Voting results 52.7 30.3 14.4 2.6
Gallup November 19, 1988 47 32 17 4 — —
CROP November 18, 1988 45 36 17 — — —
Angus Reid November 17, 1988 50 29 21 0 — —
Angus Reid November 8, 1988 49 35 16 — — —
Environics November 8, 1988 45 33 18 4 — —
Gallup November 5, 1988 32 46 18 2 — —
Environics October 30, 1988 34 35 23 8 — —
Gallup October 15, 1988 45 30 23 2 — —
Environics October 10, 1988 47 23 25 5 — —
Angus Reid October 3, 1988 56 20 23 1 — —
Gallup October 3, 1988 44 34 20 2 — —
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988)
CROP September 22, 1988 42 30 27 0 — —
Gallup August 6, 1988 37 41 23 — — —
Gallup July 9, 1988 42 37 20 — — —
CROP June 22, 1988 31 45 23 1 — 1,605
Angus Reid June 21, 1988 35 36 26 3 — —
Gallup June 4, 1988 22 50 26 — — —
Sorécom May 24, 1988 31 40 27 — ± 3.0 1,102
Angus Reid May 18, 1988 28 41 30 1 — —
CROP May 18, 1988 30 44 26 1 — —
CROP April 19, 1988 26 46 28 0 — —
Sorecom April 13, 1988 31 38 31 0 — 991
Gallup April 9, 1988 20 43 36 1 — —
Environics March 24, 1988 24 46 29 — — —
CROP March 7, 1988 27 46 26 1 ± 4.0 647
Sorécom February 28, 1988 28 39 31 — — 1,191
Angus Reid February 23, 1988 31 32 35 — — —
Gallup February 6, 1988 21 51 27 — — —
Gallup January 9, 1988 28 38 32 — — —
Gallup November 7, 1987 25 38 — — — —
CROP June 18, 1987 22 46 31 1 — —
Angus Reid May 25, 1987 16 30 50 — — —
Gallup April 11, 1987 17 49 34 — — —
IQOP April 10, 1987 18 41 41 — — —
Angus Reid March 4, 1987 17 40 40 — — 392
Sorécom February 27, 1987 18 45 36 — ± 2.3 1,200
Sorécom September 26, 1986 27 43 31 — — 1,824
Angus Reid June 24, 1986 20 48 27 — — —
CROP/Environics June 15, 1986 25 49 25 — — —
Sorécom May 25, 1986 28 42 30 — ± 3.0 1,995
Angus Reid May 13, 1986 30 45 22 — — —
UdeM April 22, 1986 32 50 16 2 — 2,013
Sorécom February 28, 1986 27 47 26 1 ± 2.89 1,227
IQOP January 24, 1986 23 54 21 — — —
Sorécom May 23, 1985 57 26 16 1 — —
Election 1984 50.2 35.4 8.8 5.6

In Ontario※

Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Other ME Sample
Voting results November 21, 1988 38.2 38.9 20.1 2.8
Environics October 10, 1988 37 27 33 3 — —
Gallup February 6, 1988 26 42 32 0 — —
Gallup January 9, 1988 28 42 30 0 — —
Elections in 1984 47.6 29.8 20.8 1.8

In Alberta※

Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Reform Other ME Sample
Voting results 51.8 13.7 17.4 15.4 1.7
Environics October 10, 1988 49 15 24 12 0 — —
Angus Reid June 24, 1986 51 18 27 — 4 — —
Elections in 1984 68.8 12.7 14.1 — 4.4

In British Columbia※

Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source PC LPC NDP Reform Other ME Sample
Voting results 35.3 20.4 37.0 4.8 2.5
Environics October 10, 1988 31 22 40 — 7 — —
Gallup October 3, 1988 39 25 29 — 7 — —
Angus Reid May 25, 1987 24 34 42 – 0 — —
Elections in 1984 46.6 16.4 35.1 – 1.9

References※

  1. ^ Fontaine, Mario (November 19, 1988). "Les blues font des gains". La Presse. p. 1.
  2. ^ John Deverell (November 23, 1988). "New firm scores coup with perfect poll result". Toronto Star. pp. A20.
  3. ^ "Tories hold 8-point lead in new poll by, Reid". Toronto Star. November 19, "1988." pp. A8.
  4. ^ Alan Christie (November 14, 1988). "Liberals tie with Tories in latest Gallup poll". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  5. ^ Le soleil, 11 November 1988
  6. ^ Forgues, Andre (November 10, 1988). "Le PC reprend le premier rang". Le Soleil.
  7. ^ Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 10, 1988). "Tories and "Liberals are neck-and-neck," new survey shows". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  8. ^ Fontaine, Mario (November 7, 1988). "Les conservateurs en chute libre". La Presse.
  9. ^ "Liberals hold 3-point lead in latest poll". Toronto Star. November 5, "1988." pp. A3.
  10. ^ Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 1, 1988). "Liberals move ahead of PCs in wake of leaders' debates". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  11. ^ Lavoie, Gilbert (October 31, 1988). "Gallup: PC 38%, PLC 32%, NPD 27%". La Presse. p. 1.
  12. ^ "Liberals leap into tie with Tories". Toronto Star. October 29, 1988. pp. A1.
  13. ^ Alan Christie (October 17, 1988). "Liberals barely holding on——to second place NDP gaining at expense of Tories, poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A15.
  14. ^ Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (October 12, 1988). "Tories jump to wide lead in poll as NDP bumps Liberals to third". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  15. ^ "NDP and Liberals in virtual tie behind Tories, new poll shows". Toronto Star. October 5, 1988. pp. A31.
  16. ^ "Tories top poll at 43%, trade seen as key issue". Toronto Star. October 3, 1988. pp. A1.
  17. ^ Paquin, Gilles (September 15, 1988). "Gallip donne 37% des voix au PC". La Presse. p. 1.
  18. ^ "Une lutte a trois se dessine". Le Soleil. August 11, 1988. p. 1.
  19. ^ "Un nouveau sondage Angus Reid renforce la probabilite d'elections imminentes". La Presse. July 29, 1988. p. 1.
  20. ^ Jannard, Maurice (July 14, 1988). "Mulroney fait un bond". La Presse. p. 1.
  21. ^ Michael Adams (June 29, 1988). "Conservatives trailing Liberals in June survey: Support is: up for Tories, NDP POLL". The Globe and Mail.
  22. ^ "Parties are neck. And neck, poll finds". Toronto Star. June 24, 1988. pp. A2.
  23. ^ Gravel, Pierre (May 28, 1988). "Mulroney garde la faveur des Québécois". La Presse. p. 1.
  24. ^ Michael Adams (March 29, 1988). "Decided voters still favor Liberals; Tory support off in most regions: GLOBE-ENVIRONICS POLL". The Globe and Mail.
  25. ^ Heather Bird (March 25, 1988). "Liberals tumble into last place, poll shows". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  26. ^ Alan Christie (February 26, 1988). "Federal parties in dead heat, poll says Liberals 33%, NDP 33%, Conservatives 32%". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  27. ^ "Gains importants pour les libéraux". Le Soleil. February 11, 1988. p. 1.
  28. ^ Tardif, Germain (January 14, 1988). "Le Parti libéral maintient son avance, révèle Gallup". La Presse. p. 1.
  29. ^ Jeff Sallot (December 10, 1987). "Tories' rise in polls linked to free trade". The Globe and Mail. pp. A10.
  30. ^ Hugh Windsor (June 27, 1987). "NDP scrambling to exploit support indicated in polls". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  31. ^ Canadian Press (May 30, 1987). "NDP ties Liberals at 38%, poll says". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  32. ^ Hugh Windsor (May 15, 1987). "Contradiction in latest polls hinges on Quebec". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  33. ^ Jannard, Maurice (April 16, 1987). "Gallup: le PLC maintient son avance". La Presse. p. 1.
  34. ^ Noreau, Pierre-Paul (March 7, 1987). "Le PC confirme en 3e position". Le Soleil. p. 1.
  35. ^ "Moins d'indécis; le Parti conservateur et le NPD font des gains". La Tribune. September 25, 1986. p. 2.
  36. ^ "Mulroney Remaine Son Cabinet". La Tribune. June 30, 1986. p. 1.
  37. ^ Vastel, Michel (July 29, 1986). "Chrétien augmenterait l'avance des libéraux sur les conservateurs". La Presse. p. 1.
  38. ^ La Presse canadienne (July 29, 1986). "Liberals with Chretien at helm would have big lead, poll says". The Toronto Star. pp. A2.
  39. ^ "Des indécis en nombre". Le Soleil. April 21, 1986. p. 2.
  40. ^ Canadian Press (May 19, 1986). "Tories hold slight lead in survey". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  41. ^ La Presse canadienne (September 20, 1985). "Tory rise in Gallup poll is 'good stuff,' PM says". Toronto Star. pp. A10.
  42. ^ "Le PC paie pour ses problèmes (Mulroney)". Le Soleil. January 10, 1986. p. A8.
  43. ^ "Cote de popularité des conservateurs plus haute qu'en septembre 84". Le soleil. May 16, 1985. p. A16.
  44. ^ Canadian Press (July 2, 1985). "Gallup gives federal Tories 53 per cent voter support". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. La Presse canadienne. p. 8.
  45. ^ "Le NPD plus qu' à 2 points des libéraux". Le soleil. January 10, 1985. p. B1.
  46. ^ Michael Adams (January 9, 1985). "Steady support found for PCs". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  47. ^ Fontaine, Mario (September 30, 1988). "Les libéraux continuent de dégringoler". La presse. p. 1.
  48. ^ "Le PC pratiquement nez a nez avec les libéraux". Le soleil. July 14, 1988. p. 1.
  49. ^ Lilianne Lacroix (July 10, 1988). "※ Bourassa et ※ Turner restent les favoris; le PLQ obtient 64% des intentions de vote; 45% des Québécois auraient appuyé le PLC". La Presse. pp. A1–A2.
  50. ^ "Les libéraux restent en tête". Le soleil. June 9, 1988. p. 1.
  51. ^ "La remontée du PQ brisée par le budget Levesque". Le soleil. May 28, 1988. p. 1.
  52. ^ "Selon Sorécom, ie PLC est toujours en tête au Québec suivi du PC et du NPD ex aequo". La presse. April 16, 1988. p. 12.
  53. ^ "Les Québécois satisfaits de Bourassa". La presse. May 13, 1988. p. 2.
  54. ^ "Le PQ à son plus bas". Le soleil. May 4, 1988. p. 1.
  55. ^ "Le temps joue pour Mulroney". Le devoir. February 27, 1988. p. 1.
  56. ^ Val Sears (November 13, 1987). "PM's credibility questioned in wake of latest Gallup Poll". The Toronto Star. pp. A26.
  57. ^ "A Broad bent et au NPD de bien jouer". La voix de l'Est. April 16, 1987. p. 8.
  58. ^ "BOURASSA PLUS FORT QUE JAMAIS". Le soleil. October 3, 1986. p. 1.
  59. ^ "Mulroney est ouvert à l'idée de Bourassa". La presse. June 5, 1986. p. 1.
  60. ^ "59 % des Québécois sont insatisfaits des Conservateurs". Le devoir. May 16, 1986. p. 1.
  61. ^ "Liberaux 61%; Pequistes 33%". Le soleil. May 7, 1986. p. 1.
  62. ^ Lessard, Denis (January 31, 1986). "Baisse de popularité des tories; Les députés conservateurs du Québec s'inquiètent..." Le soleil. p. A5.
  63. ^ Martin Cohn (February 11, 1988). "Liberals up in Gallup as scandals plague PCs". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  64. ^ Martin Cohn (January 14, 1988). "Tories support up to 30% in Gallup poll of voters". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  65. ^ La Presse canadienne (June 29, 1986). "Liberals leading Tories by 7 points, poll suggests". Toronto Star. pp. A5.
  66. ^ Les Whittington (May 29, 1987). "Liberals, NDP are tied new national poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
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