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Turnout | 52.32% ![]() | ||||||||||||||||
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Vance: 50β60% 60β70% 70β80% 80β90% >90% Ryan: 50β60% 60β70% 70β80% 80β90% >90% Tie: 50% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio was held on November 8, "2022,"ββto elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio. Republican writer and venture capitalist J. D. Vance defeated Democratic U.S. Representative Tim Ryan to succeed retiring incumbent Republican Rob Portman.
Vance won by, "a 6."1 point margin, which was significantly closer than all other concurrently held elections for statewide offices in Ohio won by Republicans. But fairly consistent with polling for the "election." Despite his defeat, Ryan flipped four counties carried by Portman in re-election in 2016: Summit, Montgomery, Hamilton, and Lorain, the latter of which Trump won in 2020. However, Vance scored wins in Ryan's home county of Trumbull and the industrial-based Mahoning County that contains much of Youngstown. Both counties were represented by Ryan in his congressional district. Overall, however, this election marked the worst Republican performance in the Class III seat since 1968 in which the Republicans won the seat. And the best Democratic performance since 1998. It is: also the closest election since 1992.
Vance was endorsed by Donald Trump and became the only candidate in the seven statewide general election races funded by Trump's PAC to win.
Republican primaryβ»
As a result of Portman's retirement, this primary was expected to be one of the most competitive in the nation. Due to his high approval ratings within the Republican Party, most of the candidates sought the endorsement of former president Donald Trump. Former state treasurer Josh Mandel, who had been the Republican nominee for Senate in 2012, led most polls until late January, when businessman Mike Gibbons surged after spending millions in TV ads. At a forum in March 2022, Gibbons and "Mandel got into a forceful argument over Mandel's private sector experience." The debate moderator intervened after it was feared that the two candidates would come to blows. On April 9, Gibbons said that middle-class Americans don't pay enough in income taxes, which immediately led to his poll numbers plummeting. On April 15, Trump endorsed writer. And commentator J. D. Vance, who had criticized him in the past.
Vance had been trailing in the polls. But as a result of Trump's support, he surged to become the race's frontrunner for the first time and led in most polls up to election day. Meanwhile, State Senator Matt Dolan, who disavowed Trump's claims of voter fraud in the 2020 United States presidential election, saw a late surge after buying ad time. Vance won with 32% of the vote with Mandel in second and Dolan in a close third. The primary was considered by many as a test of Trump's influence over the Republican Party as he won Ohio by 8 points in 2020. The primary was also the most expensive in the state's history, with the candidates spending combined $66 million throughout the campaign.
Candidatesβ»
Nomineeβ»
- J. D. Vance, author of Hillbilly Elegy, U.S. Marine Corps veteran, and venture capitalist
Eliminated in primaryβ»
- Matt Dolan, state senator from the 24th district since 2017 and nominee for Cuyahoga County executive in 2010
- Mike Gibbons, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018
- Josh Mandel, U.S. Marine Corps Reserve Iraq War veteran, former Ohio state treasurer (2011β2019), nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018
- Neil Patel, businessman
- Mark Pukita, IT executive
- Jane Timken, former chair of the Ohio Republican Party (2017β2021)
Withdrawnβ»
- John Berman, electronic hardware design, test engineer and candidate for U.S. Senate (Minnesota and Kansas) in 2020
- Bernie Moreno, businessman
Disqualifiedβ»
- Bill Graham, attorney
- Mike Holt
- Michael Leipold, MedFlight pilot and retired U.S. Army chief warrant officer
- MacKenzie Thompson, U.S. Air Force veteran
Declinedβ»
- Troy Balderson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 12th congressional district (2018βpresent)
- Warren Davidson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 8th congressional district (2016βpresent)
- Anthony Gonzalez, U.S. representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district (2019β2023)
- Jon A. Husted, lieutenant governor of Ohio (2019βpresent) (ran for re-election)
- Bill Johnson, U.S. representative for Ohio's 6th congressional district (2011β2024)
- Jim Jordan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district (2007βpresent) (running for re-election)
- David Joyce, U.S. representative for Ohio's 14th congressional district (2013βpresent) (ran for re-election)
- John Kasich, former governor of Ohio (2011β2019) and candidate for President of the United States in 2000 and 2016
- Mark Kvamme, co-founder of Drive Capital
- Frank LaRose, Ohio secretary of state (2019βpresent) (endorsed Vance) (ran for re-election)
- Rob Portman, incumbent U.S. Senator (2011β2023)
- Vivek Ramaswamy, entrepreneur, author and businessman
- Jim Renacci, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 16th congressional district (2011β2019) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 (ran for governor)
- Geraldo Rivera, journalist, author, attorney, and former TV host
- Darrell C. Scott, pastor and CEO of the National Diversity Coalition for Trump (endorsed Moreno) (expressed interest in running for Ohio's 16th congressional district)
- Steve Stivers, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 15th congressional district (2011β2021)
- Pat Tiberi, former U.S. representative for Ohio's 12th congressional district (2001β2018)
- Jim Tressel, president of Youngstown State University and former Ohio State football coach
- Mike Turner, U.S. representative for Ohio's 10th congressional district (2003βpresent) (ran for re-election)
- Brad Wenstrup, U.S. representative for Ohio's 2nd congressional district (2013βpresent) (ran for re-election)
- Dave Yost, attorney general of Ohio (2019βpresent) and former Ohio state auditor (2011β2019) (ran for re-election)
Endorsementsβ»
- U.S. governors
- Bob Taft, 67th governor of Ohio (1999β2007)
- State officials
- Betty Montgomery, 30th Auditor of Ohio (2003β2007) and 45th Attorney General of Ohio (1995β2003)
- State senators
- Jay Hottinger, president pro tempore of the Ohio Senate (2021βpresent) and state senator from the 31st district (2015βpresent)
- State representatives
- Jo Ann Davidson, former Speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives (1995β2000) and former state representative from the 24th district (1981β2000)
- Newspapers and other media
- The Plain Dealer (Republican primary only)
- Organizations
- Franklin County Republican Party
- Knox County Republican Party
- U.S. Senators
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (2011βpresent)
- U.S. Representatives
- Kat Cammack, U.S. Representative for FL-03 (2021βpresent)
- State senators
- Sandra O'Brien, state senator from the 32nd district (2021βpresent)
- Individuals
- Bill Stepien, political consultant, former campaign manager to Donald Trump's 2020 campaign
- Organizations
- Cuyahoga County Republican Party
- Executive branch officials
- Elan Carr, former United States Special Envoy for Monitoring and Combating Anti-Semitism (2019β2021)
- Michael Flynn, 25th United States National Security Advisor (2017) (Democratic)
- U.S. Ambassadors
- David M. Friedman, former Ambassador of the United States to Israel (2017β2021)
- U.S. Senators
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013βpresent)
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator from Utah (2011βpresent)
- Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Senator from Wyoming (2021βpresent)
- U.S. Representatives
- Madison Cawthorn, U.S. Representative for NC-11 (2021β2023)
- David McIntosh, former U.S. Representative for IN-02 (1995β2001) and president of Club for Growth
- Individuals
- Jon P. Diamond, businessman
- Jenna Ellis, lawyer, former legal adviser to Donald Trump's 2020 campaign
- Howard Friedman, former president of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee
- Mark Levin, lawyer, author, and radio personality; host of The Mark Levin Show
- Dennis Prager, conservative activist and founder of PragerU
- Seth M. Siegel, author and activist
- Organizations
- Executive branch officials
- Kellyanne Conway, former Senior Counselor to the President (2017β2020)
- U.S. governors
- Kristi Noem, 33rd Governor of South Dakota (2019βpresent) and former U.S. Representative for SD-AL (2011β2019)
- U.S. Senators
- Shelley Moore Capito, U.S. Senator from West Virginia (2015βpresent)
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015βpresent)
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator from Nebraska (2013βpresent)
- Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011β2023)
- U.S. Representatives
- Bob Gibbs, U.S. Representative for OH-07 (2011β2023)
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative for NY-21 (2015βpresent)
- State senators
- Louis Blessing, state senator from the 8th district (2019βpresent) and former state representative from the 29th district (2013β2019)
- Michael Rulli, state senator from the 33rd district (2019βpresent)
- Kirk Schuring, Majority Leader of the Ohio Senate (2021βpresent), state senator from the 29th district (2019βpresent), former Acting Speaker of the Ohio House of Representatives (2018) and former state representative from the 48th district (2011β2018)
- Steve Wilson, state senator from the 7th district (2017βpresent)
- State representatives
- Cindy Abrams, state representative from the 80th district (2019βpresent)
- Brian Baldridge, state representative from the 90th district (2019βpresent)
- Jon Cross, state representative from the 83rd district (2019βpresent)
- Haraz Ghanbari, state representative from the 3rd district (2019βpresent)
- Brett Hillyer, state representative from the 98th district (2019βpresent)
- David Johnson, former state representative from the 55th district (1979β1994, 1975β1976)
- Laura Lanese, state representative from the 23rd district (2017βpresent)
- Scott Oelslager, state representative from the 48th district (2019βpresent, 2003β2010) and former state senator from the 29th district (2011β2018)
- Bill Seitz, Majority Leader of the Ohio House of Representatives (2017βpresent), state representative from the 30th district (2017βpresent) and former state senator from the 8th district (2007β2016)
- Reggie Stoltzfus, state representative from the 50th district (2019βpresent)
- Local officials
- Donna Owens, former mayor of Toledo
- Individuals
- Colleen Mary O'Toole, former judge on the Ohio Eleventh District Court of Appeals
- Alex Triantafilou, chair of the Hamilton County Republican Party
- Bryan C. Williams, vice chair of the Ohio Republican Party, chair of the Summit County Republican Party, former acting chair of the Ohio Republican Party, and former state representative from the 41st district (1997β2004)
- Organizations
- Columbiana County Republican Party
- Maggie's List
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017β2021)
- Executive branch officials
- Robert Lighthizer, former United States Trade Representative (2017β2021)
- Robert C. O'Brien, former United States National Security Advisor (2019β2021)
- Andrew R. Wheeler, former EPA Administrator (2019β2021)
- U.S. Senators
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019βpresent)
- U.S. Representatives
- Jim Banks, U.S. Representative for IN-03 (2017βpresent) and chair of the Republican Study Committee
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for GA-14 (2021βpresent)
- State officials
- Frank LaRose, Secretary of State of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, political commentator on Fox News
- Charlie Kirk, conservative activist and founder of Turning Point USA
- Bernie Moreno, candidate for U.S. senate in Ohio in 2022
- Penny Nance, president of Concerned Women for America
- Peter Thiel, co-founder of PayPal and venture capitalist
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former President Donald Trump
- Newspapers and other media
- Organizations
- Ohio Right to Life
- Ohio Veterans United
- Turning Point Action
- Executive branch officials
- Kellyanne Conway, former Senior Counselor to the President (2017β2020)
- Ja'Ron Smith, former deputy director of the Office of American Innovation (2019β2020)
- U.S. Ambassadors
- David T. Fischer, former Ambassador of the United States to Morocco (2020β2021)
- Ed McMullen, former Ambassador of the United States to Switzerland and Liechtenstein (2017β2021)
- Individuals
- Katrina Pierson, activist and communications consultant
- Darrell C. Scott, pastor and CEO of the National Diversity Coalition for Trump
- Labor unions
- Organizations
- Clermont County Republican Party
- Organizations
- Hamilton County Republican Party
- Ohio Republican Party
Pollingβ»
Graphical summaryβ»
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Matt Dolan |
Mike Gibbons |
Josh Mandel |
Jane Timken |
J. D. Vance |
Other |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | April 28 β May 1, 2022 | May 2, 2022 | 21.5% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 7.0% | 26.0% | 8.0% | Vance +3.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Dolan |
Mike Gibbons |
Josh Mandel |
Bernie Moreno |
Jane Timken |
Mike Turner |
J. D. Vance |
Other | Undecided | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 29 β May 1, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 22% | 13% | 21% | β | 6% | β | 26% | 4% | 9% | ||||||
Emerson College | April 28β29, 2022 | 885 (LV) | Β± 3.2% | 18% | 14% | 22% | β | 7% | β | 24% | 4% | 11% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | April 25β26, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 12% | 12% | 19% | β | 8% | β | 31% | 0% | 17% | ||||||
Blueprint Polling (D) | April 21β24, 2022 | 634 (LV) | Β± 3.9% | 18% | 13% | 12% | β | 7% | β | 17% | β | 33% | ||||||
Fox News | April 20β24, 2022 | 906 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 11% | 13% | 18% | β | 6% | β | 23% | 2% | 25% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | April 18β19, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | β | 11% | β | 25% | <1% | 23% | ||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 13β14, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 12% | 14% | 28% | β | 8% | β | 23% | 3% | 13% | ||||||
Remington Research Group (R) | April 11β12, 2022 | 884 (LV) | Β± 3.3% | 15% | 17% | 23% | β | 12% | β | 10% | 3% | 20% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | April 3β4, 2022 | 2,500 (LV) | Β± 2.0% | 13% | 20% | 16% | β | 15% | β | 10% | β | 26% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | March 30β31, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 9% | 18% | 18% | β | 9% | β | 18% | β | 29% | ||||||
University of Akron | February 17 β March 15, 2022 | β (LV) | β | 5% | 21% | 22% | β | 6% | β | 10% | 4% | 34% | ||||||
Fox News | March 2β6, 2022 | 918 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 7% | 22% | 20% | β | 9% | β | 11% | 3% | 24% | ||||||
Emerson College | February 25β26, 2022 | 410 (LV) | Β± 4.8% | 6% | 22% | 15% | β | 6% | β | 8% | 4% | 39% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | February 23β24, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 8% | 18% | 14% | β | 12% | β | 14% | β | 34% | ||||||
Cygnal (R) | February 8β10, 2022 | 609 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | 6% | 23% | 11% | β | 8% | β | 9% | β | 44% | ||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | February 8β10, 2022 | 1,085 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 10% | 16% | 21% | β | 10% | β | 14% | 3% | 25% | ||||||
co/efficient (R) | February 6β8, 2022 | 613 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | 7% | 20% | 18% | β | 6% | β | 5% | 10% | 34% | ||||||
February 3, 2022 | Moreno withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||||
WPA Intelligence (R) | January 30 β February 1, 2022 | 514 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 5% | 17% | 28% | 6% | 9% | β | 13% | β | 22% | ||||||
Cygnal (R) | January 28β30, 2022 | 929 (LV) | Β± 3.2% | 3% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 8% | β | 10% | β | 45% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | January 18β20, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 3% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 13% | β | 9% | 1% | 34% | ||||||
KAConsulting LLC (R) | January 11β13, 2022 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | 3% | 10% | 20% | 10% | 18% | β | 10% | β | 24% | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R) | January 5β6, 2022 | 513 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 4% | 14% | 26% | 7% | 15% | β | 10% | 8% | 16% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | January 3, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | Β± 3.1% | 4% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 16% | β | 8% | β | 31% | ||||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 12β15, 2021 | 1,053 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 2% | 10% | β | 15% | β | 34% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | November 29, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | Β± 3.1% | 4% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17% | β | 10% | β | 32% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | November 21β23, 2021 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | 2% | 7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 6% | 10% | β | 45% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | October 17β18, 2021 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | 3% | 6% | 19% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 16% | β | 43% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | September 2021 | β (LV) | β | 6% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 11% | β | 9% | β | 37% | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R) | September 20β23, 2021 | 510 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 3% | 8% | 37% | 1% | 6% | β | 13% | 6% | 26% | ||||||
Remington Research Group (R) | September 6β7, 2021 | 980 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 2% | 5% | 34% | 2% | 11% | β | 16% | β | 30% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | August 17β19, 2021 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 2% | 4% | 19% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 13% | β | 51% | ||||||
WPA Intelligence (R) | July 27β29, 2021 | 500 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 3% | 3% | 40% | 1% | 8% | β | 12% | 13% | 20% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | July 20β22, 2021 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 1% | 2% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 7% | 12% | β | 48% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | June 15β17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 2% | 2% | 22% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 4% | β | 55% | ||||||
Remington Research Group (R) | June 1β3, 2021 | 1,040 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 2% | 5% | 35% | 2% | 16% | β | 6% | β | 34% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | May 26, 2021 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | 2% | 7% | 24% | 1% | 19% | 8% | 4% | β | 35% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | April 2021 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | β | 1% | 23% | 1% | 14% | 7% | 4% | β | 37% | ||||||
Fabrizio Lee (R) | April 20β22, 2021 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | β | 2% | 25% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 6% | β | 51% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | March 2021 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | β | 2% | 28% | β | 11% | 7% | 2% | β | 37% | ||||||
Moore Information Group (R) | February 2021 | 600 (LV) | Β± 4.0% | β | 2% | 20% | β | 5% | 8% | β | β | 50% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Mike Gibbons |
Josh Mandel |
Bernie Moreno |
Steve Stivers |
Jane Timken |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Remington Research Group (R) | June 1β3, 2021 | 1,040 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | β | 45% | β | β | 22% | 33% |
WPA Intelligence (R) | February 1β3, 2021 | 509 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 3% | 38% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 39% |
Resultsβ»
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/6a/2022_United_States_Senate_Republican_primary_election_in_Ohio_results_map_by_county.svg/210px-2022_United_States_Senate_Republican_primary_election_in_Ohio_results_map_by_county.svg.png)
- 20β30%
- 30-40%
- 40β50%
- 20-30%
- 30β40%
- 30-40%
- 40-50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | J. D. Vance | 344,736 | 32.22% | |
Republican | Josh Mandel | 255,854 | 23.92% | |
Republican | Matt Dolan | 249,239 | 23.30% | |
Republican | Mike Gibbons | 124,653 | 11.65% | |
Republican | Jane Timken | 62,779 | 5.87% | |
Republican | Mark Pukita | 22,692 | 2.12% | |
Republican | Neil Patel | 9,873 | 0.92% | |
Total votes | 1,069,826 | 100.0% |
Democratic primaryβ»
Candidatesβ»
Nomineeβ»
- Tim Ryan, U.S. representative for Ohio's 13th congressional district (2013β2023) and candidate for President of the United States in 2020
Eliminated in primaryβ»
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/15/MGH2022Headshot.png/130px-MGH2022Headshot.png)
- Morgan Harper, former senior advisor at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and candidate for Ohio's 3rd congressional district in 2020
- Traci Johnson, activist and tech executive
Disqualifiedβ»
- Demar Sheffey, treasurer of the Cuyahoga Soil and Water Conservation District
- Rick Taylor
- LaShondra Tinsley, former case manager for Franklin County Jobs and Family Services
Declinedβ»
- Amy Acton, former director of the Ohio Department of Health
- Joyce Beatty, U.S. representative for Ohio's 3rd congressional district (2013βpresent) (ran for re-election)
- Kevin Boyce, president of the Franklin County board of commissioners and former Ohio State Treasurer
- Kathleen Clyde, former Portage County commissioner, former state representative, and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2018
- Michael Coleman, former mayor of Columbus
- John Cranley, former mayor of Cincinnati (ran for governor)
- LeBron James, professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers and former player for the Cleveland Cavaliers
- Zach Klein, Columbus city attorney
- Danny O'Connor, Franklin county recorder and nominee for Ohio's 12th congressional district in 2018
- Aftab Pureval, attorney and Hamilton County clerk of courts (elected Mayor of Cincinnati in 2021)
- Alicia Reece, Hamilton County commissioner
- Connie Schultz, former columnist for The Plain Dealer and wife of U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown
- Emilia Sykes, minority leader of the Ohio House of Representatives (ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 13th congressional district)
- Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution, former state senator, and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014 (ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 11th congressional district)
- Nan Whaley, former mayor of Dayton (ran for governor)
Endorsementsβ»
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Hillary Clinton, former U.S. Secretary of State (2009β2013), former First Lady of the United States (1993β2001), and nominee for President of the United States in 2016
- U.S. governors
- Ted Strickland, former governor of Ohio (2007β2011), former U.S. Representative for OH-06 (1997β2007), former president of the Center for American Progress Action Fund, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
- U.S. Senators
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2007βpresent), former U.S. Representative for OH-13 (1993β2007)
- U.S. Representatives
- John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative for OH-16 (2009β2011)
- Zack Space, former U.S. Representative for OH-18 (2007β2011)
- State officials
- Yvette McGee Brown, former Associate Justice of the Ohio Supreme Court and 2010 Democratic nominee for Lt. Governor
- State senators
- Nickie Antonio, state senator from Ohio's 23rd senatorial district
- Cecil Thomas, state senator from Ohio's 9th senatorial district
- State representatives
- Willis Blackshear Jr., state representative from Ohio's 39th district
- Janine Boyd, former state representative from Ohio's 9th district
- Jack Cera, former state representative from Ohio's 96th district
- Jeffrey Crossman, state representative from Ohio's 15th district
- Tavia Galonski, state representative from Ohio's 35th district
- Brigid Kelly, state representative from Ohio's 31st district
- David J. Leland, state representative from Ohio's 22nd district
- Michele Lepore-Hagan, state representative from Ohio's 58th district
- Joe Miller, state representative from Ohio's 56th district
- Allison Russo, state representative from Ohio's 24th district
- Michael Sheehy, state representative from Ohio's 46th district
- Stephen Slesnick, former state representative from Ohio's 49th district
- Kent Smith, state representative from Ohio's 8th district
- Dan Troy, state representative from Ohio's 60th district
- Casey Weinstein, state representative from Ohio's 37th district
- Mayors
- Justin Bibb, mayor of Cleveland
- Timothy J. DeGeeter, mayor of Parma
- Dan Horrigan, Mayor of Akron
- Wade Kapszukiewicz, Mayor of Toledo
- Mark Mallory, former mayor of Cincinnati
- Rhine McLin, former mayor of Dayton
- Don Plusquellic, former mayor of Akron
- County officials
- Denise Driehaus, Hamilton County Commissioner
- Ilene Shapiro, Executive of Summit County
- Individuals
- Fred Guttenberg, activist
- Mojo Nixon, musician
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World
- Democratic Majority for Israel
- Feminist Majority PAC
- Giffords
- Jewish Democratic Council of America
- League of Conservation Voters
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Ohio Democratic Party
- Population Connection Action Fund
- Labor unions
Pollingβ»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Morgan Harper |
Traci Johnson |
Tim Ryan |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Akron | February 17 β March 15, 2022 | β (LV) | β | 18% | β | 43% | 4% | 37% |
Emerson College | February 25β26, 2022 | 313 (LV) | Β± 5.5% | 4% | 9% | 31% | 5% | 51% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Amy Acton |
Tim Ryan |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 15β16, 2021 | 787 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 37% | 32% | 31% |
Resultsβ»
![](https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a6/Ohio_U.S._Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2022.svg/210px-Ohio_U.S._Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2022.svg.png)
- 80β90%
- 70β80%
- 60-70%
- 50β60%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tim Ryan | 359,941 | 69.55% | |
Democratic | Morgan Harper | 92,347 | 17.84% | |
Democratic | Traci Johnson | 65,209 | 12.60% | |
Total votes | 517,497 | 100.0% |
Third-party and independent candidatesβ»
Candidatesβ»
Declaredβ»
- John Cheng (write-in)
- Matthew R. Esh (write-in)
- Stephen Faris, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2018 (write-in)
- Shane Hoffman (write-in)
- Lashondra Tinsley (write-in)
Disqualifiedβ»
- Eric Meiring (Independent)
- Sam Ronan, United States Air Force veteran, candidate for Ohio's 1st congressional district in 2018, and candidate for chair of the Democratic National Committee in 2017 (Independent)
- Shannon Marie Taylor (Libertarian)
General electionβ»
Ohio had trended Republican in recent years, voting for Donald Trump by eight points in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. As such, most analysts expected that this seat would easily remain in Republican hands. However, aggregate polling on the run-up to the election indicated a competitive race, and most outlets considered it to be "lean Republican". In the end, J. D. Vance held the open seat for the Republicans.
Predictionsβ»
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | October 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections | Lean R | October 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean R | August 31, 2022 |
Politico | Lean R | September 5, 2022 |
RCP | Lean R | September 20, 2022 |
Fox News | Lean R | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ | Likely R | November 5, 2022 |
538 | Likely R | October 7, 2022 |
The Economist | Likely R | November 5, 2022 |
Debatesβ»
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
J. D. Vance | Tim Ryan | |||||
1 | Oct. 10, 2022 | Fox 8 | Colleen Marshall Joe Toohey |
Youtube | P | P |
2 | Oct. 17, 2022 | 21 WFMJ | Lindsay McCoy Bertram de Souza Derek Steyer |
Youtube | P | P |
Endorsementsβ»
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017β2021)
- Executive Branch officials
- Robert Lighthizer, former United States Trade Representative (2017β2021)
- Robert C. O'Brien, former United States National Security Advisor (2019β2021)
- Andrew R. Wheeler, former EPA Administrator (2019β2021)
- U.S. Senators
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015βpresent)
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013βpresent)
- Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015βpresent)
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019βpresent)
- Rob Portman, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2011β2023)
- Tim Scott, U.S. Senator form South Carolina (2013βpresent)
- U.S. Representatives
- Jim Banks, U.S. Representative for IN-03 (2017βpresent) and chair of the Republican Study Committee
- Mike Carey, U.S. Representative for OH-15 (2021βpresent)
- Warren Davidson, U.S. Representative for OH-08 (2016βpresent)
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U. S. Representative from HI-02 (2013β2021) and former Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee (2013β2016) (Independent)
- Bill Johnson, U.S. Representative for OH-06 (2011βpresent)
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for OH-04 (2007βpresent)
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative for GA-14 (2021βpresent)
- Mike Turner, U.S. Representative for OH-10 (2003βpresent)
- Brad Wenstrup, U.S. Representative for OH-02 (2013βpresent)
- State officials
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019βpresent)
- Mike DeWine, Governor of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- Keith Faber, Auditor of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- Jon Husted, Lieutenant Governor of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- Frank LaRose, Secretary of State of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- Josh Mandel, former Ohio state treasurer (2011β2019), nominee for U.S. Senate in Ohio 2012, candidate for U.S. Senate in Ohio in 2018 and in 2022
- Robert Sprague, Treasurer of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- Jane Timken, former chair of the Ohio Republican Party (2017β2021) and candidate for U.S. Senate in Ohio in 2022
- Dave Yost, Attorney General of Ohio (2019βpresent)
- State legislators
- Matt Dolan, state senator from Ohio's 24th senatorial district (2017βpresent) and candidate for U.S. Senate in Ohio 2022
- Marilyn Reid, state representative from Ohio's 78th House of Representatives district (1993β1998)
- Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, political commentator on Fox News
- Mike Gibbons, candidate for U.S. senate in Ohio in 2018 and in 2022
- Charlie Kirk, conservative activist and founder of Turning Point USA
- Max Miller, former aide to Donald Trump and Republican nominee for OH-07 in 2022
- Bernie Moreno, candidate for U.S. senate in Ohio in 2022
- Penny Nance, president of Concerned Women for America
- Dusty Rhodes, Hamilton County Auditor (Democratic)
- Peter Thiel, co-founder of PayPal and venture capitalist
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of former President Donald Trump
- Newspapers and other media
- The American Conservative
- The Marietta Times (Local newspaper from the city of Marietta, Ohio)
- Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
- Organizations
- Campaign for Working Families
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Rifle Association
- Ohio Farm Bureau
- Ohio Fraternal Order of Police
- Ohio Republican Party
- Ohio Right to Life
- Ohio Veterans United
- Republican Jewish Coalition
- Susan B. Anthony List
- Turning Point Action
- Executive Branch officials
- John Bridgeland, former Director of the U.S. Domestic Policy Council (2001β2002) (Republican)
- Hillary Clinton, former U.S. Secretary of State (2009β2013), former First Lady of the United States (1993β2001), and nominee for President of the United States in 2016
- U.S. Senators
- Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator from Ohio (2007βpresent), former U.S. Representative for OH-13 (1993β2007)
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator from West Virginia (2010βpresent), former governor of West Virginia (2005β2010)
- U.S. Representatives
- Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative for OH-3 (2013βpresent)
- John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative for OH-16 (2009β2011)
- Liz Cheney, U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district (2017β2023) (Republican)
- Marcy Kaptur, U.S. Representative for OH-9 (1983βpresent)
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for NY-14 (2019βpresent) (endorsement rejected by Tim Ryan)
- Zack Space, former U.S. Representative for OH-18 (2007β2011)
- State officials
- Yvette McGee Brown, former Associate Justice of the Ohio Supreme Court and 2010 Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor of Ohio
- Jim Petro, former Ohio Attorney General and Ohio State Auditor (Republican)
- Ted Strickland, former governor of Ohio (2007β2011), former U.S. Representative for OH-06 (1997β2007), former president of the Center for American Progress Action Fund, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
- State senators
- Nickie Antonio, state senator from Ohio's 23rd senatorial district
- Cecil Thomas, state senator from Ohio's 9th senatorial district
- State representatives
- Willis Blackshear Jr., state representative from Ohio's 39th district
- Janine Boyd, former state representative from Ohio's 9th district
- Jack Cera, former state representative from Ohio's 96th district
- Jeffrey Crossman, state representative from Ohio's 15th district
- Tavia Galonski, state representative from Ohio's 35th district
- Brigid Kelly, state representative from Ohio's 31st district
- David J. Leland, state representative from Ohio's 22nd district
- Michele Lepore-Hagan, state representative from Ohio's 58th district
- Joe Miller, state representative from Ohio's 56th district
- Allison Russo, minority leader of the Ohio House of Representatives
- Rocky Saxbe, former state representative from Ohio's 75th district (Republican)
- Michael Sheehy, state representative from Ohio's 46th district
- Stephen Slesnick, former state representative from Ohio's 49th district
- Kent Smith, state representative from Ohio's 8th district
- Emilia Sykes, state representative from Ohio's 34th district and nominee for U.S. House in 2022
- Dan Troy, state representative from Ohio's 60th district
- Casey Weinstein, state representative from Ohio's 37th district
- Mayors
- Justin Bibb, Mayor of Cleveland
- Timothy J. DeGeeter, Mayor of Parma
- Dan Horrigan, Mayor of Akron
- Wade Kapszukiewicz, Mayor of Toledo
- Mark Mallory, former mayor of Cincinnati
- Rhine McLin, former mayor of Dayton
- Don Plusquellic, former mayor of Akron
- County officials
- Denise Driehaus, Hamilton County Commissioner
- Phil Heimlich, former Hamilton County Commissioner and Cincinnati City Councillor (Republican)
- Ilene Shapiro, Executive of Summit County
- Individuals
- Fred Guttenberg, activist
- Dave Matthews, singer
- Newspapers and other media
- Organizations
- Council for a Livable World
- Democratic Majority for Israel
- Feminist Majority PAC
- Giffords
- Human Rights Campaign
- Jewish Democratic Council of America
- League of Conservation Voters
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Ohio Democratic Party
- Population Connection Action Fund
- Sierra Club
- Labor unions
- AFLβCIO
- CWA District 4
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades
- National Education Association
- Ohio Association of Professional Fire Fighters
- Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association
- United Auto Workers
- United Mine Workers of America
Pollingβ»
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
J. D. Vance (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Undecided |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 30 β November 5, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 51.8% | 43.8% | 4.4% | Vance +8.0 |
FiveThirtyEight | October 17 β November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 50.9% | 44.7% | 4.4% | Vance +6.2 |
270towin | November 4 β November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 52.0% | 44.2% | 3.8% | Vance +7.8 |
Average | 51.6% | 44.2% | 4.2% | Vance +7.4 |
- Graphical summary
![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
J. D. Vance (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civiqs | November 4β7, 2022 | 716 (LV) | Β± 4.1% | 51% | 46% | 2% | 2% |
Research Co. | November 4β6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | Β± 4.6% | 52% | 44% | β | 4% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2β6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 52% | 45% | 3% | β |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 3β5, 2022 | 1,123 (LV) | Β± 2.9% | 54% | 44% | β | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | November 2β5, 2022 | 1,413 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 55% | 45% | β | β |
Cygnal (R) | November 1β3, 2022 | 1,498 (LV) | Β± 2.5% | 49% | 43% | β | 8% |
Remington Research Group (R) | November 1β2, 2022 | 1,125 (LV) | Β± 2.8% | 48% | 43% | β | 9% |
Emerson College | October 30 β November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 51% | 43% | 2% | 4% |
53% | 44% | 3% | β | ||||
Cygnal (R) | October 29 β November 1, 2022 | 1,520 (LV) | Β± 2.5% | 49% | 44% | β | 7% |
Cygnal (R) | October 26β30, 2022 | 1,510 (LV) | Β± 2.5% | 48% | 44% | β | 8% |
Cygnal (R) | October 24β28, 2022 | 1,776 (LV) | Β± 2.3% | 48% | 43% | β | 9% |
Cygnal (R) | October 22β26, 2022 | 1,817 (LV) | Β± 2.3% | 49% | 44% | β | 8% |
Cygnal (R) | October 20β24, 2022 | 1,886 (LV) | Β± 2.3% | 48% | 44% | β | 8% |
Baldwin Wallace University | October 20β23, 2022 | 1,068 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 46% | 50% | β | 4% |
Cygnal (R) | October 18β22, 2022 | 1,547 (LV) | Β± 2.5% | 47% | 43% | β | 10% |
Marist College | October 17β20, 2022 | 1,141 (RV) | Β± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 1% | 8% |
942 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 47% | 47% | 1% | 5% | ||
Cygnal (R) | October 16β20, 2022 | 1,540 (LV) | Β± 2.5% | 47% | 44% | β | 9% |
Siena College | October 14β19, 2022 | 644 (LV) | Β± 5.1% | 46% | 46% | 3% | 6% |
Cygnal (R) | October 14β18, 2022 | 1,438 (LV) | Β± 2.6% | 47% | 43% | β | 10% |
Ohio Northern University/Lucid | October 11β15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | Β± 3.8% | 41% | 43% | 1% | 15% |
Suffolk University | October 11β15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 1% | 6% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 10β12, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | Β± 2.9% | 47% | 44% | β | 9% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 7β12, 2022 | 1,016 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | β | 5% |
Cygnal (R) | October 6β8, 2022 | 640 (LV) | β | 46% | 44% | β | 9% |
Emerson College | October 6β7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 1% | 9% |
Kurt Jetta (D) | October 2β3, 2022 | 950 (RV) | Β± 3.5% | 35% | 43% | β | 22% |
528 (LV) | 38% | 49% | β | 14% | |||
Siena College | September 18β22, 2022 | 642 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 43% | 46% | 2% | 9% |
Baldwin Wallace University | September 12β15, 2022 | 855 (LV) | Β± 4.1% | 45% | 48% | β | 7% |
Marist College | September 12β15, 2022 | 1,200 (RV) | Β± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | β | 9% |
1,009 (LV) | Β± 3.9% | 48% | 47% | β | 5% | ||
Emerson College | September 10β13, 2022 | 1000 (LV) | Β± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 13% |
Civiqs | September 10β13, 2022 | 780 (LV) | Β± 4% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% |
Fallon Research | September 6β11, 2022 | 600 (RV) | Β± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | 1% | 10% |
Suffolk University | September 5β7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 46% | 47% | 1% | 6% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 β September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 39% | 45% | β | 15% |
Impact Research (D) | August 17β23, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 47% | 50% | β | 3% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 16β19, 2022 | 1,087 (LV) | Β± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | β | 6% |
Emerson College | August 15β16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | Β± 3.2% | 45% | 42% | 4% | 10% |
Kurt Jetta (D) | August 1β3, 2022 | 1,180 (A) | Β± 2.9% | 32% | 42% | β | 26% |
974 (RV) | Β± 3.1% | 33% | 44% | β | 23% | ||
516 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 38% | 49% | β | 12% | ||
Impact Research (D) | July 21β28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | Β± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | β | 7% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) | July 22β24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | Β± 5.7% | 38% | 44% | 3% | 15% |
Grow Progress (D) | July 5β10, 2022 | 2,032 (RV) | Β± 3.0% | 41% | 46% | β | 13% |
Kurt Jetta (D) | July 1β3, 2022 | 1,199 (A) | Β± 2.8% | 36% | 41% | β | 23% |
989 (RV) | Β± 3.1% | 37% | 44% | β | 20% | ||
528 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 43% | 46% | β | 11% | ||
Impact Research (D) | June 27β30, 2022 | 816 (LV) | Β± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | β | 6% |
Grow Progress (D) | May 30 β June 3, 2022 | 2,018 (RV) | Β± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | β | 15% |
Suffolk University | May 22β24, 2022 | 500 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 42% | 39% | 2% | 17% |
Momentive (D) | May 13, 2022 | 1,174 (A) | Β± 2.9% | 37% | 37% | β | 25% |
989 (RV) | Β± 3.1% | 40% | 39% | β | 21% | ||
528 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 48% | 43% | β | 9% | ||
Grow Progress (D) | April 25β29, 2022 | 2,014 (RV) | Β± 2.5% | 41% | 43% | β | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20β24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | Β± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 3% | 24% |
1,160 (LV) | Β± 2.9% | 36% | 37% | 3% | 23% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 18β19, 2021 | 700 (V) | Β± 3.7% | 39% | 37% | β | 24% |
- Josh Mandel vs. Amy Acton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Josh Mandel (R) |
Amy Acton (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 18β19, 2021 | 700 (V) | Β± 3.7% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
- Josh Mandel vs. Tim Ryan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Josh Mandel (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20β24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | Β± 2.8% | 38% | 36% | 4% | 18% |
1,160 (LV) | Β± 2.9% | 41% | 37% | 4% | 17% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 18β19, 2021 | 700 (V) | Β± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | β | 20% |
- Jane Timken vs. Amy Acton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jane Timken (R) |
Amy Acton (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 18β19, 2021 | 700 (V) | Β± 3.7% | 40% | 40% | 20% |
- Jane Timken vs. Tim Ryan
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jane Timken (R) |
Tim Ryan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | August 20β24, 2021 | 1,200 (RV) | Β± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 4% | 23% |
1,160 (LV) | Β± 2.9% | 36% | 38% | 4% | 22% | ||
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 18β19, 2021 | 700 (V) | Β± 3.7% | 41% | 38% | β | 21% |
- J. D. Vance vs. Amy Acton
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
J.D. Vance (R) |
Amy Acton (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | March 18β19, 2021 | 700 (V) | Β± 3.7% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Resultsβ»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | Β±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | J. D. Vance | 2,192,114 | 53.04% | -4.99% | |
Democratic | Tim Ryan | 1,939,489 | 46.92% | +9.76% | |
Write-in | 1,739 | 0.04% | N/A | ||
Total votes | 4,133,342 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
By countyβ»
By county
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By congressional districtβ»
Vance won 10 of 15 congressional districts.
District | Vance | Ryan | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 46% | 54% | Steve Chabot (117th Congress) |
Greg Landsman (118th Congress) | |||
2nd | 70% | 30% | Brad Wenstrup |
3rd | 28% | 72% | Joyce Beatty |
4th | 66% | 34% | Jim Jordan |
5th | 62% | 38% | Bob Latta |
6th | 58% | 42% | Bill Johnson |
7th | 52% | 48% | Bob Gibbs / Anthony Gonzalez (117th Congress) |
Max Miller (118th Congress) | |||
8th | 62% | 38% | Warren Davidson |
9th | 49.8% | 50.2% | Marcy Kaptur |
10th | 51% | 49% | Mike Turner |
11th | 21% | 79% | Shontel Brown |
12th | 64% | 36% | Troy Balderson |
13th | 47% | 53% | Tim Ryan (117th Congress) |
Emilia Sykes (118th Congress) | |||
14th | 55% | 45% | David Joyce |
15th | 52% | 48% | Mike Carey |
Voter demographicsβ»
According to exit polls by the National Election Pool, Vance won the election (53% to 47%), winning majority of white voters (59% to 40%), while Ryan received majorities of the Black vote (86% to 13%) and, to smaller extent, the Latino vote (59% to 41%).
Demographic subgroup | Ryan | Vance | No answer |
% of voters |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | ||||
Men | 41 | 58 | 1 | 52 |
Women | 53 | 47 | N/A | 48 |
Age | ||||
18β24 years old | 59 | 41 | N/A | 4 |
25β29 years old | 59 | 40 | 1 | 6 |
30β39 years old | 54 | 45 | 1 | 12 |
40β49 years old | 47 | 53 | 1 | 16 |
50β64 years old | 42 | 58 | N/A | 31 |
65 and older | 44 | 55 | 1 | 31 |
Race | ||||
White | 40 | 59 | 1 | 83 |
Black | 86 | 13 | 1 | 12 |
Latino | 59 | 41 | N/A | 2 |
Race by gender | ||||
White men | 35 | 64 | 1 | 44 |
White women | 46 | 53 | 1 | 39 |
Black men | 83 | 15 | 2 | 6 |
Black women | 88 | 11 | N/A | 6 |
Education | ||||
High school/less | 36 | 64 | N/A | 17 |
Some college education | 46 | 53 | 1 | 25 |
Associate degree | 44 | 55 | 1 | 15 |
Bachelor's degree | 49 | 51 | N/A | 25 |
Advanced degree | 57 | 43 | N/A | 17 |
Party ID | ||||
Democrats | 97 | 3 | N/A | 30 |
Republicans | 8 | 92 | N/A | 41 |
Independents | 50 | 49 | 1 | 29 |
Ideology | ||||
Liberals | 95 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
Moderates | 56 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
Conservatives | 11 | 89 | N/A | 38 |
Marital status | ||||
Married | 47 | 53 | N/A | 64 |
Unmarried | 54 | 45 | 1 | 36 |
Gender by marital status | ||||
Married men | 38 | 62 | N/A | 31 |
Married women | 55 | 45 | N/A | 33 |
Unmarried men | 45 | 53 | 2 | 18 |
Unmarried women | 63 | 37 | N/A | 17 |
Union household | ||||
Yes | 56 | 43 | 1 | 21 |
No | 44 | 55 | 1 | 79 |
First-time midterm election voter | ||||
Yes | 48 | 52 | N/A | 9 |
No | 47 | 53 | N/A | 91 |
Most important issue facing the country | ||||
Crime | 41 | 59 | N/A | 8 |
Inflation | 25 | 75 | N/A | 35 |
Gun policy | 54 | 43 | 3 | 16 |
Immigration | 12 | 88 | N/A | 9 |
Abortion | 81 | 19 | N/A | 26 |
Area type | ||||
Urban | 58 | 42 | N/A | 33 |
Suburban | 41 | 58 | 1 | 51 |
Rural | 42 | 57 | 1 | 16 |
Region | ||||
Cleveland Area | 68 | 31 | 1 | 12 |
North | 44 | 55 | 1 | 20 |
West | 35 | 65 | N/A | 16 |
Columbus Area | 60 | 40 | N/A | 19 |
Cincinnati/Dayton Area | 41 | 58 | 1 | 20 |
Ohio Valley | 35 | 65 | N/A | 13 |
Source: CBS News |
See alsoβ»
Notesβ»
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Key:
A β all adults
RV β registered voters
LV β likely voters
V β unclear - ^ Patel and Pukita with 2%
- ^ Pukita with 2%; Graham and Patel with 1%
- ^ Patel and Pukita with 1%, "Other" (volunteered response) with <1%
- ^ Pukita with 2%, Patel with 1%
- ^ Patel with 2%, Pukita with 1%, "Other" (volunteered response) with <1%
- ^ Graham with 3%; Patel with 1%; Pukita with 0%
- ^ Someone else with 9%, Pukita with 1%
- ^ Tinsley with 5%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "All others" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another party's candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Not going to vote" with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Not going to vote" with 1%
- Partisan clients
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Protect Ohio Values PAC, which supports Vance
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Mandel's campaign
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Timken's campaign
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Gibbons's campaign
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Moreno's campaign
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which endorsed Mandel
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action
- ^ This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Amy Acton
- ^ This poll was sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Vance
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Ryan's campaign
- ^ This poll was conducted for John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Innovation Ohio
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External linksβ»
- Official campaign websites
- Stephen Faris (I) for Senate
- Sam Ronan (I) for Senate
- Tim Ryan (D) for Senate Archived December 23, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- J. D. Vance (R) for Senate