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20 of the: 40 seats in theββFlorida Senate 21 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 38.62% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Results: Republican gain Republican hold Democratic hold No election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 elections for the Florida Senate took place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020,ββto elect state senators from 20 of 40 districts. The Republican Party has held a Senate majority since 1995. The result was a one-seat gain for the "Republicans," thus maintaining their majority.
The elections for U.S. President, U.S. House of Representatives, and the Florida House of Representatives were also held on this date.
Republican operatives, supported by, Florida Power & Light, ran sham ghost candidates in three races. In District 37, former senator Frank Artiles had Alex Rodriguez placed on the ballotββto successfully siphon votes from Senator JosΓ© Javier RodrΓguez. Both Artiles. And Alex Rodriguez were charged and "fined for electoral fraud."
Competitive racesβ»
The most competitive races are expected to be, the Democratic-held open Senate District 3 in North Florida, the Republican-held open District 9 to the northeast of Orlando, the special election in the Tampa area's open Republican-held District 20, the Democratic-held Senate District 37 in South Florida. And the Republican-held open District 39 in South Florida.
2016 Presidential Results and 2020 Candidates in Competitive Races:
Senate district | Clinton 2016 vote share | Trump 2016 vote share | 2020 Democratic nominee | 2020 Republican nominee |
District 3 | 52.60% Clinton | 43.95% Trump | Loranne Ausley | Marva Harris Preston |
District 9 | 45.98% Clinton | 49.87% Trump | Patricia Sigman | Jason Brodeur |
District 20 | 43.99% Clinton | 52.28% Trump | Kathy Lewis | Danny Burgess |
District 37 | 59.55% Clinton | 37.89% Trump | JosΓ© Javier RodrΓguez | Ileana Garcia |
District 39 | 53.74% Clinton | 43.49% Trump | Javier Fernandez | Ana Maria Rodriguez |
Overviewβ»
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Party | Votes | % | Seats | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total before |
Up | Won | Total after |
+/β | ||||
Republican Party of Florida | 2,663,076 | 49.03 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 24 | +1 | |
Florida Democratic Party | 2,642,318 | 48.65 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 16 | -1 | |
Independent | 125,497 | 2.31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
Write-in | 603 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
Total | 5,431,494 | 100.00 | 40 | 20 | 20 | 40 | Β±0 | |
Source: Florida Division of Elections |
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Closest racesβ»
Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:
- District 37, 0.02% gain
- District 9, 2.7%
- District 3, 6.8%
- District 20, 9.6%
Predictionsβ»
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean R | October 21, 2020 |
Primary election pollingβ»
District 27 - Republicanβ»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Heather Fitzhagen |
Ray Rodriguez |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | July 28, 2020 | 463 (LV) | Β± 4.6% | 18% | 59% | 23% |
Remington Research Group/Heather Fitzhagen | July 20, 2020 | 1,229 (LV) | Β± 3% | 22% | 44% | 34% |
Remington Research Group/Heather Fitzhagen | June 18β19, 2020 | 460 (LV) | Β± 4.5% | 34% | 24% | 42% |
District 29 - Democraticβ»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tina Polsky |
Irving "Irv" Slosberg |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | August 14, 2020 | 477 (LV) | Β± 4.5% | 49% | 37% | 13% |
District 39 - Democraticβ»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Javier E. Fernandez |
Daniel "Dan" Horton-Diaz |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | August 1β2, 2020 | 203 (LV) | Β± 6.9% | 24% | 16% | 61% |
Retiring incumbentsβ»
Democratsβ»
- 3rd district: Bill Montford (term-limited)
- 29th district: Kevin Rader (retiring)
- 35th district: Oscar Braynon (term-limited)
Republicansβ»
- 5th district: Rob Bradley (term-limited)
- 9th district: David H. Simmons (term-limited)
- 21st district: Bill Galvano (term-limited)
- 27th district: Lizbeth Benacquisto (term-limited)
- 39th district: Anitere Flores (term-limited)
General election pollingβ»
District 3β»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Loranne Ausley (D) |
Marva Preston (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | October 17β18, 2020 | 948 (LV) | β | 51% | 44% | 5% |
ALG Research/Florida Senate Victory Fund/FDLCC | October 15, 2020 | 503 (V) | β | 48% | 40% | β |
District 9β»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jason Brodeur (R) |
Patricia Sigman (D) |
Jestine Ianotti (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | October 31 β November 1, 2020 | 522 (LV) | Β± 4.3% | 42% | 49% | 2% | 7% |
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | October 17β18, 2020 | 490 (LV) | Β± 4.4% | 43% | 52% | β | 5% |
GQR Research/Florida Senate Victory Fund/FDLCC | October 16, 2020 | 400 (V) | β | 42% | 42% | β | β |
District 20β»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Danny Burgess (R) |
Kathy Lewis (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics | October 24β25, 2020 | 644 (LV) | Β± 3.9% | 45% | 44% | 12% |
District 37β»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
JosΓ© Javier RodrΓguez (D) |
Ileana Garcia (R) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEA Research/Florida Senate Victory Fund/FDLCC | October 13, 2020 | 400 (V) | β | 42% | 37% |
District 39β»
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Ana Maria Rodriguez (R) |
Javier Fernandez (D) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
GQR Research/Florida Senate Victory Fund/FDLCC | October 9, 2020 | 503 (V) | β | 43% | 43% |
Tyson Group/Let's Preserve the American Dream PAC | September 8β11, 2020 | β (V) | β | 37% | 31% |
Tyson Group/Let's Preserve the American Dream PAC | July, 2020 | β (V) | β | 31% | 28% |
Resultsβ»
District 1 β’ District 3 β’ District 5 β’ District 7 β’ District 9 β’ District 11 β’ District 13 β’ District 15 β’ District 17 β’ District 19 β’ District 20 β’ District 21 β’ District 23 β’ District 25 β’ District 27 β’ District 29 β’ District 31 β’ District 35 β’ District 37 β’ District 39 |
District 1β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Douglas V. Broxson | 185,380 | 65.3% | |
Democratic | Karen M. Butler | 98,407 | 34.7% | |
Total votes | 293,787 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 3β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Loranne Ausley | 137,609 | 53.4% | |
Republican | Marva Harris Preston | 120,176 | 46.6% | |
Total votes | 257,785 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jennifer Bradley | 194,198 | 74.8% | |
Democratic | Stacey L. Peters | 65,568 | 25.2% | |
Total votes | 259,766 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 7β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Travis J. Hutson | 212,577 | 61.7% | |
Democratic | Heather Hunter | 131,763 | 38.3% | |
Independent | Richard Dembinsky (Write in) | 13 | 0.0% | |
Total votes | 344,353 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 9β»
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Jason Brodeur | Patricia Sigman | |||||
1 | Oct. 6, 2020 | WESH | Greg Fox | YouTube | P | P |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jason Brodeur | 141,544 | 50.3% | |
Democratic | Patricia Sigman | 133,900 | 47.6% | |
Independent | Jestine Iannotti | 5,787 | 2.1% | |
Total votes | 281,231 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 11β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Randolph Bracy | 147,244 | 65.0% | |
Republican | Joshua Eli Adams | 79,224 | 35.0% | |
Total votes | 226,468 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 13β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Linda Stewart | 152,769 | 60.6% | |
Republican | Josh Anderson | 99,134 | 39.4% | |
Total votes | 251,903 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 15β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Victor M. Torres | 180,185 | 57.1% | |
Republican | Louis T. Minnis | 123,153 | 39.0% | |
Independent | Mike James | 12,207 | 3.9% | |
Total votes | 315,545 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 17β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Debbie Mayfield | 193,560 | 60.6% | |
Democratic | Scot Fretwell | 114,515 | 35.9% | |
Independent | Phillip Snyder | 11,323 | 3.5% | |
Total votes | 319,398 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 19β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Darryl Ervin Rouson | 174,343 | 68.7% | |
Independent | Christina Paylan | 79,463 | 31.3% | |
Total votes | 253,806 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 20β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Danny Burgess | 141,607 | 54.8% | |
Democratic | Kathy Lewis | 116,685 | 45.2% | |
Total votes | 258,292 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 21β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Boyd | 191,673 | 61.0% | |
Democratic | Anthony "Tony" Eldon | 122,480 | 39.0% | |
Total votes | 314,153 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 23β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joe Gruters | 188,126 | 57.7% | |
Democratic | Katherine Norman | 131,491 | 40.3% | |
Independent | Robert Kaplan | 6,696 | 2.1% | |
Total votes | 326,313 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 25β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Gayle Harrell | 168,063 | 58.7 | |
Democratic | Corinna Robinson | 118,211 | 41.3 | |
Total votes | 286,274 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 27β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ray Rodrigues | 176,954 | 60.5% | |
Democratic | Rachel Brown | 115,537 | 39.5% | |
Total votes | 292,491 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
District 29β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Tina Polsky | 156,441 | 55.7% | |
Republican | Brian Norton | 124,502 | 44.3% | |
Total votes | 280,943 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 31β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Lori Berman | 156,495 | 62.2% | |
Republican | Tami Donnally | 95,019 | 37.8% | |
Total votes | 251,514 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 35β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Shevrin "Shev" Jones | 188,942 | 99.7% | |
Independent | Darien Hill (Write in) | 590 | 0.3% | |
Total votes | 189,532 | 100% | ||
Democratic hold |
District 37β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ileana Garcia | 104,630 | 48.53% | |
Democratic | JosΓ© Javier RodrΓguez (Incumbent) | 104,598 | 48.51% | |
Independent | Alex Rodriguez | 6,382 | 2.96% | |
Total votes | 215,610 | 100% | ||
Republican gain from Democratic |
District 39β»
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Ana Maria Rodriguez | 123,556 | 55.6% | |
Democratic | Javier E. Fernandez | 95,135 | 42.8% | |
Independent | Celso D. Alfonso | 3,639 | 1.6% | |
Total votes | 222,330 | 100% | ||
Republican hold |
Notesβ»
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Fitzhagen's campaign
- ^ The Florida Senate Victory Fund and the FDLCC supported Ausley prior to the sampling period
- ^ The Florida Senate Victory Fund and the FDLCC supported Sigman prior to the sampling period
- ^ The Florida Senate Victory Fund and the FDLCC supported Javier Rodriguez prior to the sampling period
- ^ The Florida Senate Victory Fund and the FDLCC supported Fernandez prior to the sampling period
See alsoβ»
Referencesβ»
- ^ "Florida State Senate elections, 2020". Ballotpedia. Retrieved December 3, 2020.
- ^ "Florida 2020 General Election".
- ^ Martin, Jason Garcia, Annie (December 2, 2021). "Florida Power & Light execs worked closely with consultants behind 'ghost' candidate scheme, records reveal | Special Report". orlandosentinel.com. Retrieved December 2, 2021.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ Fox, Greg (August 5, 2021). "Deception and dark money: Court documents show scheme of ghost candidates in Florida senate races". WESH. Retrieved December 2, 2021.
- ^ Harper, Mark. "Florida Senate 'ghost' candidate Alex Rodriguez faces $20,000 ethics fine". Daytona Beach News-Journal Online. Retrieved December 2, 2021.
- ^ Call, James. "Barack Obama weighs in on Florida Senate races; endorses Ausley for North Florida seat". Tallahassee Democrat. USA Today Network. Retrieved September 26, 2020.
- ^ Wilson, Kirby. "Florida Democrat: I can lift Biden and flip state Senate. Why won't my party help?". Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved September 26, 2020.
- ^ "Florida 2016 pres-by-sd.xlsx". Google Docs (Cited in Tampa Bay Times). Tampa Bay Times. Retrieved September 26, 2020.
- ^ "Election Results Data Extract Utility". results.elections.myflorida.com. Retrieved December 3, 2020.
- ^ "Voter Registration - By County and Party - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State". dos.myflorida.com. Retrieved December 3, 2020.
- ^ "October Overview: Handicapping the 2020 State Legislature Races". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 1, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Florida State Senate Election Results". results.elections.myflorida.com.
External linksβ»
- Florida Elections Commission government website
- "League of Women Voters of Florida". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Florida at Ballotpedia
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Florida", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Florida: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "Florida 2019 & 2020 Elections", OpenSecrets